Why do we make mistakes? Are there certain errors common to failure, whether in a complex enterprise or daily life? In this truly indispensable book, Dietrich. The Logic of Failure Dietrich Dörner at Otto-Friedrich-Universität Bamberg The references herein, especially the books by Dörner [5] and Kahneman [31]. Our office engineering reading group just went through The Logic of Failure: Recognizing And Avoiding Error In Complex Situations by Dietrich.

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He addresses the typical shortcomings planners and researchers demonstrate, their often counterproductive thought processes and behaviors. The final chapter has actionable advice to recognize situations that may lead to errors.

That’s a classic nonlinear relationship. Get to Know Us. Like it’s not coming up with ideas, but testing them. In the end, it’s a well written book which seeks to give concrete recommendations on how to avoid poor decision-making heuristics in complex systems, but I wouldn’t try to build a course of instruction around it.

Highly recommend this to anyone interested in how systems fail, be it real world or in software. Oct 03, Mark rated it really liked it. A couple of examples from the book: These studies, along with some exampl The Logic of Failure is a popular translation of what appears to be some pretty hefty scholarly literature Dieyrich think-didn’t bother to actually check 30 years of literature in Germanthat is hindered by becoming largely accepted wisdom.

Lists with This Book. I’m not getting soft or developing ambitions of business consulting; it is academic, analytical, and focuses on failures and fiascos. No trivia or quizzes yet. Dorned fact, Doerner can rather predictably get participants to fail even when they are given essentially complete knowledge of the situation and no individual aspect is beyond the comprehension of a 3rd grader–for one simple example, asking people to try and control the temperature of a freezer with access to the chiller dornner, but not a thermostat.


The book recommends greater reflection and also to use more simulations so that we can practice our decision-making skills.

But after a while the book theme was constantly repeating the same pattern: Amazon Inspire Digital Educational Resources. Amazon Drive Cloud storage from Amazon.

This works in simple closed systems when your mental model can theoretically account for the variables and interdependencies, but in truly complex systems, thinking by analogy is dangerous and most open systems fajlure some level of action to ‘perturbate’ the system and generate an output from which you can refine your understanding.

It cuts to a very fundamental limit of our cognition and reasoning. These are all mistakes of cognition. Sep 05, Gordon rated it really liked it Shelves: Interrelatedness guarantees that an action aimed at one variable will have side effects and long-term repercussions.

This work forner important implications for military strategists, statesmen, and public policy practitioners. Apr 21, Ron rated it it was amazing Shelves: I gave this book five stars partly because I think decisions in complex situations are not dietdich enough and far too few people are paying sufficient attention to this problem.

And failure doesn’t have to come from incompetence.

Learn more about Amazon Prime. Amazon Music Stream millions of songs. Paperbackpages. But only good problem solvers bother to test them. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty. Other main points are “people have a hard time with many-variable nonlinear chaotic systems” not an actual quote and the correlary – they can basically only do linear modeling.



The Logic of Failure: Recognizing and Avoiding Error in Complex Situations by Dietrich Dörner

There’s a problem dietrixh this menu right now. Want to Read saving…. It makes sense to rely on sims when it’s not possible to study something in the real world, for example The main gist of this book is that human beings don’t always behave logically.

Probably our main shortcoming is that we like to oversimplify problems.

The Logic of Failure

Only in the end did the author try to handle this question When I started reading the book, I found it very interesting to see the fails in the human way of thinking in complex dlrner.

Dorner is a cognitive scientist who based this book on a series of studies of how people interacted with computer models: Good problem solvers use clear goals and intermediary goals with accurate mental models which they refine over time. Like playing discretized sim city, or playing ‘balance the predators and prey’.

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Notes on The Logic of Failure by Dietrich Dorner – Max Mednik

A presumptuous book full of truisms. Despite the heavy subject matter, the writing is crisp and lucid; kudos to whomever translated it from German. Why do we make mistakes?

Nov 06, Jake rated it it was amazing.